POSITION:Poker Publications > News > Some in Iran claim US sanctions caused the Raisi helicopter crash. The truth may be more complicated
Some in Iran claim US sanctions caused the Raisi helicopter crash. The truth may be more complicated
Updated:2024-06-07 08:18    Views:72

- Source: CNN " data-fave-thumbnails="{"big": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/2024-05-21t085656z-119923268-rc2wu7aw3vi6-rtrmadp-3-iran-security-president-commemoration-tabriz.JPG?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" }, "small": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/2024-05-21t085656z-119923268-rc2wu7aw3vi6-rtrmadp-3-iran-security-president-commemoration-tabriz.JPG?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" } }" data-vr-video="false" data-show-html=" Newsroom " data-byline-html=" " data-check-event-based-preview="" data-network-id="" data-publish-date="2024-05-21T08:50:22.778Z" data-video-section="world" data-canonical-url="https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/21/world/video/iran-president-raisi-ali-vaez-intv-05213aseg1-cnni-world-fast" data-branding-key="" data-video-slug="iran-president-raisi-ali-vaez-intv-05213aseg1-cnni-world-fast" data-first-publish-slug="iran-president-raisi-ali-vaez-intv-05213aseg1-cnni-world-fast" data-video-tags="cnni-fast" data-details=""> A picture of the late Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi is seen on his coffin during a funeral ceremony held in Tabriz, East Azerbaijan Province, Iran, May 21, 2024. Stringer/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY.   ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS PICTURE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY Video Ad Feedback What President Raisi's death means for the future of Iranian politics 02:12 - Source: CNN World News 17 videos - Source: CNN " data-fave-thumbnails="{"big": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/2024-05-21t085656z-119923268-rc2wu7aw3vi6-rtrmadp-3-iran-security-president-commemoration-tabriz.JPG?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" }, "small": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/2024-05-21t085656z-119923268-rc2wu7aw3vi6-rtrmadp-3-iran-security-president-commemoration-tabriz.JPG?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" } }" data-vr-video="false" data-show-html=" Newsroom " data-byline-html=" " data-check-event-based-preview="" data-network-id="" data-publish-date="2024-05-21T08:50:22.778Z" data-video-section="world" data-canonical-url="https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/21/world/video/iran-president-raisi-ali-vaez-intv-05213aseg1-cnni-world-fast" data-branding-key="" data-video-slug="iran-president-raisi-ali-vaez-intv-05213aseg1-cnni-world-fast" data-first-publish-slug="iran-president-raisi-ali-vaez-intv-05213aseg1-cnni-world-fast" data-video-tags="cnni-fast" data-details=""> A picture of the late Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi is seen on his coffin during a funeral ceremony held in Tabriz, East Azerbaijan Province, Iran, May 21, 2024. Stringer/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY.   ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS PICTURE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY Video Ad Feedback What President Raisi's death means for the future of Iranian politics 02:12 Now playing - Source: CNN - Source: CNN " data-fave-thumbnails="{"big": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240520001049-iran-president-helicopter-crash.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" }, "small": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240520001049-iran-president-helicopter-crash.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" } }" data-vr-video="false" data-show-html="" data-byline-html=" Erica Hernandez " data-check-event-based-preview="" data-network-id="" data-publish-date="2024-05-20T04:15:32Z" data-video-section="world" data-canonical-url="https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2024/05/20/iran-president-helicopter-crash-site-aerials-digvid.cnn" data-branding-key="" data-video-slug="iran president helicopter crash site aerials digvid" data-first-publish-slug="iran president helicopter crash site aerials digvid" data-video-tags="" data-details=""> iran president helicopter crash Video Ad Feedback Drone video shows apparent crash site of Iranian president's helicopter 01:09 Now playing - Source: CNN - Source: CNN " data-fave-thumbnails="{"big": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240521095102-singapore-airlines-turbulence-vpx.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" }, "small": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240521095102-singapore-airlines-turbulence-vpx.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" } }" data-vr-video="false" data-show-html="" data-byline-html=" John Branch " data-check-event-based-preview="" data-network-id="" data-publish-date="2024-05-21T13:53:55Z" data-video-section="world" data-canonical-url="https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/21/world/video/singapore-airlines-flight-turbulence-death-ldn-digvid" data-branding-key="" data-video-slug="singapore airlines flight turbulence death ldn digvid" data-first-publish-slug="singapore airlines flight turbulence death ldn digvid" data-video-tags="" data-details=""> singapore airlines turbulence vpx Video Ad Feedback Video shows scene inside Singapore Airlines flight after it lands following severe turbulence 00:39 Now playing - Source: CNN - Source: CNN " data-fave-thumbnails="{"big": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240521143911-benjamin-netanyahu-israel-pm-lead-split.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" }, "small": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240521143911-benjamin-netanyahu-israel-pm-lead-split.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" } }" data-vr-video="false" data-show-html=" The Lead " data-byline-html=" Thomas Gottlieb " data-check-event-based-preview="" data-network-id="" data-publish-date="2024-05-21T20:29:36Z" data-video-section="world" data-canonical-url="https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2024/05/21/benjamin-netanyahu-israel-lead-tapper-intv-gaza-lives-sot-digvid.cnn" data-branding-key="" data-video-slug="benjamin netanyahu israel lead tapper intv gaza lives sot digvid" data-first-publish-slug="benjamin netanyahu israel lead tapper intv gaza lives sot digvid" data-video-tags="" data-details=""> Benjamin Netanyahu Israel PM Lead SPLIT Video Ad Feedback 'Anything you and the IDF could have done any differently?': Tapper asks Netanyahu about loss of innocent lives 00:55 Now playing - Source: CNN - Source: CNN " data-fave-thumbnails="{"big": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240522122247-uk-pm-rishi-sunak-downing-street-052224-cms.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" }, "small": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240522122247-uk-pm-rishi-sunak-downing-street-052224-cms.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" } }" data-vr-video="false" data-show-html="" data-byline-html=" AK Pohlers " data-check-event-based-preview="" data-network-id="" data-publish-date="2024-05-22T17:01:48Z" data-video-section="world" data-canonical-url="https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2024/05/22/rishi-sunak-british-pm-surprise-july-election-uk-digvid.cnn" data-branding-key="" data-video-slug="rishi sunak British PM surprise july election uk digvid" data-first-publish-slug="rishi sunak British PM surprise july election uk digvid" data-video-tags="" data-details=""> uk pm rishi sunak downing street 052224_cms Video Ad Feedback British PM calls for election as crowd plays opposition anthem 01:24 Now playing - Source: CNN - Source: CNN " data-fave-thumbnails="{"big": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240519104102-ebrahim-raisi-05-19-2024.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" }, "small": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240519104102-ebrahim-raisi-05-19-2024.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" } }" data-vr-video="false" data-show-html="" data-byline-html=" Michael Ryan " data-check-event-based-preview="" data-network-id="" data-publish-date="2024-05-19T16:57:09Z" data-video-section="world" data-canonical-url="https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2024/05/19/iran-president-ebrahim-raisi-helicopter-crash-scene-details-digvid.cnn" data-branding-key="" data-video-slug="iran president Ebrahim Raisi helicopter crash scene details digvid" data-first-publish-slug="iran president Ebrahim Raisi helicopter crash scene details digvid" data-video-tags="" data-details=""> In this photo released by the Iranian Presidency Office, President Ebrahim Raisi attends a meeting with his Azeri counterpart Ilham Aliyev during the inauguration ceremony of dam of Qiz Qalasi, or Castel of Girl in Azeri, at the border of Iran and Azerbaijan, Sunday, May 19, 2024. A helicopter carrying Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi suffered a "hard landing" on Sunday, Iranian state media reported, without immediately elaborating. Video Ad Feedback Video shows foggy scene where helicopter carrying Iranian president crashed 02:04 Now playing - Source: CNN - Source: CNN " data-fave-thumbnails="{"big": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240517114752-idf-spokesperson.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" }, "small": { "uri": "https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/240517114752-idf-spokesperson.jpg?c=16x9&q=h_540,w_960,c_fill" } }" data-vr-video="false" data-show-html="" data-byline-html=" Allison Glennie " data-check-event-based-preview="" data-network-id="" data-publish-date="2024-05-17T16:04:57Z" data-video-section="world" data-canonical-url="https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2024/05/17/israel-hostages-bodies-recovered-gaza-hamas-diamond-digvid.cnn" data-branding-key="" data-video-slug="israel hostages bodies recovered gaza hamas diamond digvid" data-first-publish-slug="israel hostages bodies recovered gaza hamas diamond digvid" data-video-tags="" data-details=""> IDF spokesperson Video Ad Feedback What we know about bodies of three hostages recovered by IDF 02:43 Now playing - 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Source: CNN See More Videos CNN  — 

Even before Iran’s army chief Mohammad Bagheri ordered an investigation into the helicopter crash that cost the Islamic Republic the lives of two of its top politicians, blame was being laid at America’s door.

The body of President Ebrahim Raisi was being carefully carried from the crash site as former Foreign Minister Javad Zarif acidly told Iran’s state TV that, “One of the causes of this heart-breaking incident is the United States, which by sanctioning the sale of the aviation industry to Iran caused the martyrdom of the president and his companions. The US’s crime will be recorded in the minds of the Iranian people and history.” US officials quickly dismissed the allegations as “baseless.”

There are many reasons the aging American-made, Vietnam war-era Bell 212 helicopter may have crashed. Poor maintenance or human error in the dense fog are among them. Turkish Transport Minister Abdulkadir Uraloglu has said it is too soon to comment on the cause of the crash, but initial indications suggested it was an accident due to foggy weather.

A helicopter carrying Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi takes off, near the Iran-Azerbaijan border, May 19, 2024. A helicopter carrying Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi takes off, near the Iran-Azerbaijan border, May 19, 2024. Ali Hamed Haghdoust/Wana News Agency/Reuters

But why did Iran risk both president and foreign minister on the same helicopter, when there were three used that day to carry the delegation to the dam opening on the border with Azerbaijan?

When Raisi – accompanied by his Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, the provincial governor Malek Rahmati, and the influential Imam of Friday prayers in Tabriz, Mohammed Ali Alehashem – got out of the helicopter at the Qiz Ghal’e dam Sunday morning visibility was good.

The sun was shining as Raisi shook hands with his Azeri counterpart Ilham Aliyav at their border on the bridge over the calm waters of the Aras river in the middle of the dam. The day had got off to an apparently good start. Previously frosty relations between the two nations appeared to be warming.

On the route picked by the flight crew for their journey to the regional center of Tabriz, where the president’s plane was waiting, the weather was worsening.

Although seasonal rains had been diminishing another weather front was moving in. Cold and wet. Fog was thickening around the rugged, remote and unforgiving 1,800 meter (5,900 feet) peaks on the direct flight path.

People mourn the death of President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian in a helicopter crash the previous day, at Valiasr Square, on May 20, 2024 in Tehran, Iran. People mourn the death of President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian in a helicopter crash the previous day, at Valiasr Square, on May 20, 2024 in Tehran, Iran. Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

So question one, why fly through the mountains when a detour around the range or to another destination might have been safer?

The next question might be, knowing the weather was bad and having three helicopters on the journey, why put both president and foreign minister in the same aircraft?

The crash, also revealed Iran’s lack of readiness to deal with a calamity of this nature.

There seemed to be no shortage of manpower, but they were hamstrung, lacking adequate technology.

In the middle of the night while hundreds, if not thousands, of medics, mountaineers, soldiers, police and even the elite Revolutionary Guard Corps, scoured the steep mountain peaks and deep ravines it was Turkish drone AKINCI, flying loops above the clouds, that first located traces of the helicopter.

TEHRAN, IRAN - APRIL 29: Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi officially welcomed Iraqi President Abdul Latif Rashid at Saadabad Cultural & Historical Complex in Tehran, Iran. (Photo by Sakineh Salimi/Borna News/Aksonline ATPImages/Getty Images) TEHRAN, IRAN - APRIL 29: Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi officially welcomed Iraqi President Abdul Latif Rashid at Saadabad Cultural & Historical Complex in Tehran, Iran. (Photo by Sakineh Salimi/Borna News/Aksonline ATPImages/Getty Images) Sakineh Salimi/Borna News/Aksonline ATPImages/Getty Images

For a nation that makes, uses, and exports long-range killer drones to countries like Russia for its war in Ukraine, and non-state actors like Iraqi militia and Yemen’s Houthis – who are currently holding global maritime trade to ransom targeting ships in the Red Sea – they didn’t appear to have a simple surveillance drone capable of the job.

Shortly before AKINCI began etching its systematic surveillance pattern in the night sky Iran had also asked Turkey and Russia for night vision capable helicopters. By implication, if they had them, they couldn’t get them there fast enough.

This night, of apparently vital importance to Iran and its Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s military prowess – projected through its axis of proxies in the Middle East and its ally Russia – seemed hollow.

Former Foreign Minister Zarif would want the world to believe Iran’s technological core has been hollowed out by US sanctions, but that allegation too is tainted by hubris.

If, as he claims, the president’s helicopter were victim to a paucity of quality spare parts due to US sanctions, why risk the life of the president and the foreign minister in an aircraft considered potentially unreliable. What other air transport possibilities were there, and if there were none that begs the same question, doubly so.

Iran’s presidents are not idle, they need to go places. Planning for better options could have been made a bigger priority. Did hubris among the president’s staff or in the upper echelons of the military chose to trust to chance. According to Zarif, maintenance of the Bell 212 was a predictable problem.

It wouldn’t be the first time hubris hollowed out logic, but it is certainly the most tragic for those involved.

The implicit irony is that Raisi himself was an architect of Iran’s aura of power, only to find it was vacuous when he needed it most.